NFL Week 15 Five Bold Predictions: Bill Belichick beats former assistant; Desmond Ridder wins his first start

The San Francisco 49ers kicked off Week 15 on the right foot by winning their seventh straight game, beating division rival Seattle Seahawks on Thursday Night Football.

The weekend slate is a little different than usual, as the NFL will give us three games on Saturday and only 10 contests on Sunday this week. However, a different timeline won’t stop us from making our usual bunch of bold predictions. We’re just going to make sure to spread them out throughout the weekend, so there’s a prediction Saturday to start things off for you good folks who will be tuning in to your TVs.

Without delay …

Dolphins continue their offensive slump

In the first 12 weeks of the season, the Dolphins had one of the best and most explosive offenses in the NFL. They finished third in the NFL in yards per game per game, sixth in points per game, second in Tru Media (EPA) Expected Points Added per game, and second in Football Outsiders DVOA. They also created big plays at the league’s highest rate, with 25.6% of their snaps resulting in a gain of 10 or more yards, according to Tru Media. In the two games they’ve played against the 49ers and Chargers over the past two weeks, the Dolphins have gained 527 total yards and scored 34 combined points. They recorded a season-low 14 first downs in each of those games, in which Tua Tagovailoa went 28 of 61 for 440 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions, while winning five of 17 sacks. he gave in all season. As we wrote Last week, the Dolphins will face a challenge this week similar to that posed by the 49ers when they face division rival Buffalo Bills. Add to that the expected bad weather (there is a significant chance of snow and the temperature will be south of 30 degrees) which should suppress passing game production and it’s not hard to see Miami having a game again. slow offensive.

The Saints have lost four of their last five games, with the only win coming against a Rams side that lost Matthew Stafford mid-game. New Orleans has at times been vulnerable to explosive games from opposing rushing attacks, and we’ve seen throughout this season that despite lacking top-level personnel, Arthur Smith can inspire the Falcons to rush against almost n’ any opponent. That’s what’s happening here, as the Falcons downplay the work their rookie quarterback has to do and secure a win over a division rival, miraculously keeping their playoff hopes alive for another week in the process. .

Jets slow down Lions’ explosive passing game

Do you know when was the last time an opponent had over 200 net passing yards against the Jets? If you guessed week 7, you would be right. That’s when Brett Rypien went 24 of 46 for 225 yards and an interception against them in a 16-9 New York win over the Broncos. All season, the most net passing yards (yards passing minus yards lost against sacks) the Jets have allowed is just 261, and that was against the Bengals. The Jets have just slowed Josh Allen and the Bills and Justin Jefferson and the Vikings over the past two weeks, while the Lions have seen a dramatic drop in passing game performance in road games compared to those played in the friendly limits of Ford Field – which has essentially become the football version of Coors Field this season. On the grass and in the elements of MetLife Stadium, it is assumed here that they have another poor performance.

Location comp Att Comp % yards YPL TD Int Bag Rtg ANY/A
Residence 139 227 61.2 1628 7.2 7 6 14 82.3 6.2
A way 140 253 55.3 1524 6.0 6 4 17 74.6 5.4

Bill Belichick defeats former assistant

I was very surprised to learn that Belichick’s win-loss record against his former assistants isn’t all that great. Via the Patriots’ official website: “The only thorn in Belichick’s side over the last 23 seasons with the Patriots is coming up against his former assistant coaches and players. In matchups against his former proteges, Belichick has a 15-13 pedestrian record. , with a 5-9 rating against his students since 2018.” One of those losses came against the Denver Broncos managed by Josh McDaniels in 2009. This time against a team coached by McDaniels, Belichick will get the better of his former offensive coordinator. Get ready to hear a lot of the phrase “1-Double 17,” which is the cover we’ll most likely see the Pats use against Davante Adams. That means he’s double-shifted all afternoon. The Raiders don’t have many other ways to move the ball through the air, so when Adams is taken they’re much easier to stop.

Two weeks ago, the Giants and Commanders tied 20-20 in what was honestly one of the most depressing football games of the year. Things won’t improve much in the rematch, but the Commies will pick up a win on Sunday Night Football, thanks in large part to the fact that they’re just the healthiest team right now. This will allow them to leapfrog their division rivals in playoff positioning and give them a pretty decent chance of securing a wildcard spot.

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